Caen vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2000 |
FCG
1 - 1
CAE
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 2
LOR
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
STL
2 - 1
CAE
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 3
SOC
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
MPL
2 - 0
CAE
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2000 |
ASN
3 - 1
NÎM
70%
20%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
NIC
2 - 1
ASN
25%
29%
46%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
ASN
3 - 1
ASB
70%
20%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
LUS
1 - 0
ASN
28%
28%
45%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
ASN
1 - 0
STL
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |