Caen vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
GUI
1 - 1
CAE
52%
27%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
STR
2 - 0
CAE
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
CAE
1 - 0
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
GIR
3 - 1
CAE
69%
20%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
CAE
1 - 0
LIL
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
ASN
2 - 0
STR
23%
26%
51%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
MAR
4 - 1
ASN
75%
17%
7%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
ASN
1 - 1
GIR
20%
26%
54%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1997 |
LIL
2 - 0
ASN
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
ASN
1 - 0
NIC
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |