Caen vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
MPL
3 - 1
CAE
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
CAE
2 - 1
LHA
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
LYO
2 - 2
CAE
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1991 |
CAE
1 - 3
MAR
21%
29%
50%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1991 |
NAN
2 - 1
CAE
49%
29%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
ASN
2 - 3
NÎM
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
PSG
1 - 0
ASN
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
ASN
0 - 0
SPO
49%
28%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
REN
3 - 1
ASN
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1991 |
ASN
1 - 3
MET
38%
28%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |