Caen vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 3
CAE
38%
25%
36%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 4
LYO
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NIC
2 - 1
CAE
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CAE
1 - 0
TFC
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAE
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MPL
1 - 2
ASS
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 0
MPL
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
MPL
0 - 1
PSG
16%
22%
61%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
REN
1 - 0
MPL
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MPL
0 - 2
ANG
66%
21%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |