Caen vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
NAN
1 - 1
CAE
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1997 |
CAE
1 - 1
ASN
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
GUI
1 - 1
CAE
52%
27%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
STR
2 - 0
CAE
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
CAE
1 - 0
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
MPL
1 - 4
STR
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
GUI
2 - 0
MPL
36%
30%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1997 |
MAR
2 - 2
MPL
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
MPL
2 - 0
GIR
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
GIR
1 - 2
MPL
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |