Caen vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1994 |
NIC
0 - 1
CAE
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
CAE
1 - 2
PSG
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1994 |
LIL
1 - 1
CAE
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
STR
1 - 0
CAE
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
CAE
1 - 5
AUX
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1994 |
MPL
2 - 2
LYO
48%
28%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
MET
0 - 0
MPL
41%
30%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1994 |
MPL
2 - 2
MON
37%
29%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
BAS
1 - 1
MPL
30%
31%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
MPL
1 - 1
STR
49%
27%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |