Caen vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
SOC
5 - 0
CAE
69%
17%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
CAE
1 - 1
NIC
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
TFC
2 - 1
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
CAE
2 - 0
PSG
42%
29%
30%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
LYO
2 - 1
CAE
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
MPL
3 - 3
ASS
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
LIL
1 - 0
MPL
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
MPL
3 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
SOC
3 - 1
MPL
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
MPL
2 - 1
RAC
63%
21%
17%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |