Caen vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
44%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
CAN
2 - 0
CAE
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
CAE
5 - 1
ASN
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
MPL
3 - 1
CAE
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
CAE
2 - 1
LHA
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
LYO
2 - 2
CAE
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
MON
1 - 1
NÎM
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1991 |
SWA
1 - 2
MON
15%
24%
61%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1991 |
ASS
0 - 1
MON
27%
29%
44%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
MON
3 - 0
SPO
73%
19%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
SOC
1 - 3
MON
25%
31%
44%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |