Caen vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
BAS
1 - 0
CAE
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1994 |
CAE
0 - 1
MON
31%
28%
40%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1994 |
NAN
2 - 1
CAE
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1994 |
CAE
0 - 1
CAN
41%
29%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1994 |
SOC
2 - 0
CAE
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
MET
1 - 1
AUX
30%
29%
41%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
LYO
1 - 0
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 1994 |
CAN
1 - 0
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1994 |
MET
1 - 2
BAS
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1994 |
MON
0 - 1
MET
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |