Caen vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1993 |
LYO
1 - 0
CAE
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1993 |
CAE
0 - 2
PSG
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1993 |
VAL
3 - 2
CAE
38%
30%
32%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1993 |
CAE
4 - 3
LIL
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1992 |
CAE
3 - 0
STR
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1993 |
MET
3 - 0
STR
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1993 |
SOC
2 - 0
MET
45%
29%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1993 |
MET
2 - 1
MAR
18%
26%
57%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1993 |
ASS
2 - 0
MET
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1992 |
MET
1 - 1
GIR
40%
31%
29%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |