Caen vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
CAE
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 1
LES
75%
18%
8%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CAE
0 - 3
LHA
55%
24%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 0
AVR
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 0
GIR
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
2 - 2
LOR
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
GIR
3 - 1
LOR
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 1
NAN
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 2
GUI
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 1
LOK
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |