Caen vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
47.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DIJ
2 - 0
CAE
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 4
GIR
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GUI
0 - 1
CAE
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ANG
3 - 1
CAE
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
CAE
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LIL
1 - 2
ANG
57%
26%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
PSG
2 - 1
LIL
77%
16%
8%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LIL
0 - 1
LOR
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
LIL
1 - 0
NAN
52%
27%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
LYO
1 - 2
LIL
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |