Caen vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1992 |
CAE
3 - 0
STR
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1992 |
SOC
1 - 0
CAE
43%
30%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1992 |
CAE
0 - 0
ASS
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1992 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAE
77%
15%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1992 |
CAE
1 - 1
NAN
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1992 |
LIL
2 - 2
NÎM
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1992 |
ASS
0 - 0
LIL
58%
25%
18%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1992 |
LIL
2 - 0
MAR
15%
25%
60%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1992 |
SOC
1 - 0
LIL
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1992 |
LIL
0 - 2
GIR
34%
34%
32%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |