Caen vs FC Libourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2006 |
CAE
3 - 1
LUS
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
BRE
2 - 1
CAE
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 1
CHA
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 2
CAE
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
CAE
4 - 1
LHA
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Libourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2006 |
FCL
1 - 1
CHA
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2006 |
ROM
1 - 1
FCL
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
FCL
0 - 1
PAU
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ANG
0 - 0
FCL
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
FCL
3 - 0
SPO
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |