Caen vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
LHA
1 - 1
CAE
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 1
ARL
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 0
IST
68%
21%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 0
CAE
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 1
CAE
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
LEN
2 - 2
SED
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
CLE
1 - 0
LEN
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 0
AUX
36%
28%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
NIO
0 - 0
LEN
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 2
NAN
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |