Caen vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
6 - 1
CAE
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 0
AUX
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
TFC
1 - 1
CAE
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 0
ASN
44%
28%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
SED
3 - 2
CAE
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
LEN
2 - 2
STR
60%
22%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 2
LEN
33%
29%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
LEN
3 - 0
LYO
29%
26%
45%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
LEN
3 - 0
ASN
54%
26%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
PSG
3 - 0
LEN
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |