Caen vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
CAE
3 - 0
TRO
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CAE
2 - 0
ASN
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
FCR
1 - 2
CAE
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 1
BRC
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
AMI
0 - 3
CAE
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
SED
3 - 1
IST
61%
24%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
IST
3 - 1
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
LUS
0 - 2
IST
42%
29%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
IST
2 - 1
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
LHA
0 - 0
IST
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |