Caen vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
TFC
0 - 1
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 1
NIC
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LIL
2 - 2
CAE
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CAE
2 - 2
GRE
62%
22%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAE
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
LHA
2 - 3
MON
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
GIR
4 - 0
LHA
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LHA
2 - 1
VAL
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
SOC
1 - 1
LHA
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
LHA
1 - 2
LMU
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |