Caen vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
ASN
0 - 2
CAE
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CAE
1 - 1
FCR
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
BRC
0 - 1
CAE
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CAE
2 - 1
AMI
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
SED
0 - 0
CAE
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ASS
2 - 0
LHA
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2003 |
LHA
3 - 2
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
LHA
5 - 0
FCG
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
IST
2 - 0
LHA
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
LHA
1 - 0
ANG
59%
25%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |