Caen vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AUX
2 - 2
CAE
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
PFC
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
DIN
1 - 1
CAE
8%
17%
75%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AMI
0 - 0
CAE
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
GRE
34%
29%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
GUI
3 - 2
DIJ
45%
26%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 0
STA
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PAU
2 - 0
GUI
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
LIF
0 - 8
GUI
4%
10%
86%
|
64 | 6 | 58 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 3
BAS
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |