Caen vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAE
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 0
AMI
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 2
MPL
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ASS
2 - 1
CAE
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 2
LYO
11%
18%
71%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
GUI
2 - 3
LOR
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 1
MPL
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ANG
0 - 1
GUI
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +3 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
NÎM
0 - 0
GUI
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 3
GIR
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |