Caen vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
ARL
0 - 0
CAE
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
MET
1 - 3
CAE
35%
26%
38%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
DIJ
1 - 1
CAE
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 0
BAS
71%
20%
9%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
USB
1 - 0
GUI
48%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
GUI
2 - 2
TOU
48%
28%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
VAN
2 - 2
GUI
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
GUI
0 - 1
TFC
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 1
GUI
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |