Caen vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
NIO
0 - 3
CAE
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
CAE
1 - 0
ANG
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
STL
1 - 0
CAE
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
CAE
0 - 0
GRE
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
IST
3 - 1
CAE
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
FCG
2 - 1
FCR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 2
FCG
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
FCG
2 - 0
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
BRC
1 - 1
FCG
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
FCG
0 - 1
AMI
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |