Caen vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
FCM
2 - 1
CAE
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 1
AJA
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
ESW
2 - 0
CAE
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
MON
2 - 1
CAE
20%
22%
57%
|
66 | 26 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
CAE
2 - 0
LMU
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
FCG
0 - 0
ASB
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
NIO
1 - 1
FCG
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
FCG
0 - 0
STR
30%
27%
44%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
STL
0 - 1
FCG
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2001 |
FCG
1 - 1
IST
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |