Caen vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
ASB
1 - 2
CAE
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
CAE
1 - 0
MET
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
NIO
1 - 1
CAE
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
CAE
2 - 1
ESW
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
LMU
2 - 0
CAE
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
LUS
0 - 1
VAL
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
LUS
2 - 1
ESW
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
LUS
2 - 2
FCG
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ASB
0 - 0
LUS
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
LUS
0 - 0
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |