Caen vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
ASS
0 - 1
CAE
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 2
CAE
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
CAE
3 - 2
ASB
42%
28%
31%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
ASN
3 - 3
CAE
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
CAE
1 - 0
NÎM
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LUS
1 - 0
ASB
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2002 |
ASN
0 - 0
LUS
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
LUS
2 - 2
CHA
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
IST
0 - 0
LUS
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
LUS
1 - 3
NIO
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |