Caen vs Clermont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
18º
17º
24
6º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 89% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
76% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 1
CAE
48%
24%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
CAE
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
STL
1 - 0
CAE
41%
25%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAE
6 - 0
USB
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 9 | 65 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 3
ROD
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SOC
0 - 0
CLE
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 1
ROD
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ANN
2 - 0
CLE
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 2
CLE
8%
18%
74%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 1
MET
36%
27%
36%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |