Caen vs Clermont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
SED
0 - 0
CAE
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
CAE
0 - 0
STR
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 0
CAE
23%
25%
52%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
CAE
2 - 0
GUI
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
ARL
0 - 0
CAE
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
CLE
0 - 1
BRE
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
ANG
2 - 1
CLE
40%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
STR
1 - 1
CLE
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 3
CLE
35%
29%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
CLE
0 - 3
SED
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |