Caen vs Clermont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 2
CAE
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 1
DIJ
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 3
CAE
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 0
IST
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
SED
1 - 1
CAE
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
CLE
1 - 2
VAL
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 0
CLE
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CLE
2 - 0
AMI
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
LHA
2 - 1
CLE
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
CLE
2 - 0
BAS
20%
28%
52%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |