Caen vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAE
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
CAE
0 - 1
AJA
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MPL
5 - 0
CAE
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
LOR
2 - 1
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 2
CAE
4%
10%
87%
|
62 | 17 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
NIO
4 - 4
PFC
41%
30%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
NIO
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
NIO
0 - 1
LHA
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
NIO
1 - 2
PIE
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
LEN
1 - 0
NIO
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |