Caen vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
ANG
0 - 1
CAE
27%
28%
45%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
AMI
1 - 0
CAE
38%
26%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 2
STL
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
CAE
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 0
CAN
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
NIO
2 - 1
FCR
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
AMI
2 - 3
NIO
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
NIO
3 - 1
CLE
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 1
NIO
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
NIO
1 - 1
SED
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |