Caen vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
ESW
0 - 0
CAE
29%
29%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 2
LMU
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
CAE
6 - 1
CSL
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1999 |
CHA
0 - 0
CAE
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 1
AJA
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
NIO
4 - 3
LMU
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1999 |
NIO
3 - 2
STL
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
NIO
0 - 0
ESW
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1999 |
TFC
1 - 1
NIO
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
NIO
1 - 0
CSL
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |