Caen vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2001 |
ASB
1 - 1
CAE
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
NÎM
2 - 2
CAE
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
CAE
2 - 1
NIO
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
STR
3 - 1
CAE
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
CHA
1 - 0
LUS
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
CHA
0 - 0
ASB
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
ASN
2 - 0
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
CHA
0 - 0
NÎM
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
NIO
1 - 2
CHA
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |