Caen vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PAU
1 - 0
CAE
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAE
4 - 0
NÎM
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ASN
1 - 1
CAE
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 2
NIO
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 0
AJA
28%
29%
42%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
DIJ
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
LHA
2 - 4
BAS
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
NAN
2 - 0
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 1
PAU
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
REI
1 - 1
BAS
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |