Caen vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
PFC
1 - 0
CAE
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 1
AMI
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
CAE
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
DUN
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
LHA
2 - 4
CAE
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
AUX
2 - 1
DIJ
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
PAU
1 - 4
AUX
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AUX
1 - 0
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 1
AUX
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
AUX
1 - 2
TFC
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |