Caen vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
48.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2002 |
LUS
1 - 1
CAE
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
CAE
0 - 0
ASB
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
MET
4 - 0
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
CAE
0 - 1
NIO
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
ESW
2 - 2
CAE
47%
25%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AUX
0 - 0
STR
55%
24%
20%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2002 |
AUX
2 - 0
BET
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
MON
1 - 0
AUX
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
LIL
2 - 2
AUX
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
AUX
1 - 0
GIR
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |