Caen vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
41.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
LYO
1 - 0
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
CAE
2 - 0
MET
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
BAS
1 - 0
CAE
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1994 |
CAE
0 - 1
MON
31%
28%
40%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1994 |
NAN
2 - 1
CAE
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1994 |
CAN
3 - 1
AUX
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
AUX
0 - 0
LYO
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
MET
1 - 1
AUX
30%
29%
41%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
AUX
2 - 1
BAS
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1994 |
MON
0 - 0
AUX
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |