Caen vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
GIR
2 - 1
CAE
80%
13%
7%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
CAE
1 - 0
CAN
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
MON
2 - 1
CAE
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
CAE
2 - 1
BRE
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
CAE
2 - 2
SPO
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
AUX
1 - 1
SOC
44%
29%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
RAC
3 - 1
AUX
36%
29%
36%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
AUX
2 - 1
MPL
52%
27%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
TFC
1 - 1
AUX
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1989 |
AUX
0 - 0
OLP
46%
29%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |