Caen vs Cannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
CAE
2 - 1
IST
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
CLE
2 - 2
CAE
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 0
LHA
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
ASN
0 - 2
CAE
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CAE
1 - 1
FCR
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
REI
1 - 0
CAN
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
CAN
0 - 0
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ASE
0 - 3
CAN
5%
15%
80%
|
66 | 8 | 58 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
GFC
1 - 1
CAN
32%
26%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
CAN
1 - 0
SÈT
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |