Caen vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAE
21%
25%
53%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 0
DIJ
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 2
CAE
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 0
NAN
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SED
2 - 0
CAE
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
ARL
3 - 2
BRE
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
STR
1 - 1
ARL
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
ARL
2 - 1
AJA
44%
28%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
CLE
1 - 2
ARL
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
STL
5 - 0
ARL
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |