Caen vs Amiens SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 2
CAE
21%
25%
55%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAE
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
CAE
3 - 2
DIJ
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ECL
2 - 7
CAE
6%
12%
82%
|
80 | 9 | 71 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
CAE
4 - 0
IST
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Amiens SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2007 |
AMI
1 - 3
NAN
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
AMI
1 - 1
AJA
39%
30%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
AMI
3 - 0
GRE
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2006 |
STR
1 - 0
AMI
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
AVR
0 - 3
AMI
17%
20%
63%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |