Caen vs Amiens SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 1
CAE
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
MON
1 - 0
CAE
77%
16%
8%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
CAE
1 - 1
VAL
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
CAE
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
CAE
0 - 1
LIL
57%
24%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Amiens SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1999 |
SED
1 - 0
AMI
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
AMI
1 - 1
MON
17%
26%
58%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
AMI
1 - 0
GUI
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
GUI
0 - 1
AMI
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
AMI
3 - 0
CHA
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |