Caen vs Amiens SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
CAE
1 - 2
STL
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
LIL
4 - 1
CAE
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
FCM
0 - 0
CAE
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAE
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
CAE
2 - 2
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Amiens SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
AMI
1 - 1
ASN
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
LYO
3 - 1
AMI
89%
8%
3%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
AMI
1 - 1
STR
17%
20%
63%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
LOR
1 - 1
AMI
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
AMI
0 - 3
STL
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |