Caen vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
18º
17º
24
5º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 69 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 64 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 53 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 40 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10.5% | 46% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
73.5% | 27.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 1
CAE
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 1
ANN
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 0
CAE
39%
26%
36%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 2
PFC
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 1
VER
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
STL
1 - 1
AJA
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
TRO
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
RED
1 - 0
AJA
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
ROD
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 1
AJA
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |