Caen vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
VAL
0 - 1
CAE
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
CAE
2 - 0
NIC
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
LIL
0 - 0
CAE
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
CAE
1 - 1
ASS
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
FCG
2 - 1
CAE
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 1
ESW
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
SED
3 - 0
AJA
40%
26%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 0
CHA
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
AMI
0 - 2
AJA
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
STL
2 - 1
AJA
32%
26%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |