Caen U19 vs USM Saran U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
16.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
11º
10º
33
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
CAE
44%
23%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 0
CAE
30%
23%
46%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 3
GON
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LEN
3 - 0
CAE
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 1
LIL
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
USM Saran U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SRA
3 - 2
GON
61%
19%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 2
SRA
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SRA
3 - 1
LIL
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AMI
2 - 1
SRA
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SRA
0 - 1
REI
23%
19%
58%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |