Caen U19 vs Amiens SC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
6º
2º
33
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 56 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 55 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 53 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 43 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 40 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 38 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 32 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 31 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 30 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 30 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 16 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
CAE
36%
23%
42%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 0
OLM
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
DKQ
1 - 0
CAE
30%
22%
49%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 3
CAE
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
4 - 0
ORL
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Amiens SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AMI
2 - 1
ORL
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 1
AMI
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AMI
1 - 1
RAP
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
AMI
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AMI
2 - 2
PSG
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |