Caen U17 vs Montrouge sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
30.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
10º
8º
39
3º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
41% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 3
ROU
80%
12%
7%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 3
CAE
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
5 - 1
EBS
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ORL
5 - 0
CAE
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 0
SLA
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Montrouge sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
2 - 0
PAR
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
EBS
2 - 4
MFC
13%
18%
69%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MFC
2 - 1
ORL
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SLA
2 - 1
MFC
37%
23%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MFC
3 - 2
AMI
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |