Caen PTT vs QRM II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
13º
7º
26
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 2
CAE
39%
23%
39%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DIE
3 - 0
CAE
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
DIV
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
CAE
66%
17%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 1
CHA
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 2
OIS
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 1
VHO
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 0
QUE
53%
23%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LEH
0 - 0
QUE
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 2
QUE
79%
13%
7%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |