Caen PTT vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
68.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 3
CAE
72%
15%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 2
STG
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 2
CAE
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 2
OIS
27%
23%
51%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
DRO
2 - 2
CAE
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAI
1 - 1
LMU
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LMU
0 - 0
STP
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 1
LMU
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
LMU
2 - 1
STA
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FON
1 - 2
LMU
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |